Here we are again. It's that time of year when western New Yorkers wonder how bad the coming winter will be so I am "re-running" my winter prediction blog. Some people check the Farmer's Almanac for the winter forecast but others begin searching the ground. We are looking for wooly bears. Not the large, four footed kind, but the small, crawling kind - wooly bear caterpillars. European folklore got our ancestors hooked on this itty bitty barometer and it still is an amusing way to attempt to forecast the winter season.
This fuzzy guy that curls into a ball as soon as you touch him is usually divided into three colored bands that - supposedly - tell how severe the winter will be and what part of the winter will be the worst. If the brown band in the middle is large, it will be a mild winter. If the black bands on the ends are bigger, it will be a rough winter. And depending on the length of the black bands at the head or tail end of the caterpillar, either the beginning of the winter or the end will be difficult - more black being colder and snowier.
So start looking for the creeping prognosticator. And if you don't like what you see on the first one, keep looking for another! This photo is the first wooly bear I have found for 2009 and seems to indicate a rough beginning and then mild after that. We'll see. . .
Just remember, regardless what the winter weather brings, there are cozy fires in the fireplaces of the Copper Shop and the Inn on the Roycroft Campus to welcome you and keep the winter at bay.